Camden, London and national political comment from a Labour activist and councillor.

Friday, February 22, 2008

Results from Global Democratic Primary - global victory for Obama?

As someone who voted for Hillary at the primary, yesterday's official results for the Global Primary of the US Democratic Party, make for rather depressing reading.

Recap: this year the Democratic Party held their first 'global' primary for ex-pats and U.S. citizens serving overseas. Although U.S. citizens can vote in the primary of the state they were last registered as resident in, some states have an electoral process, like the Iowa caucus, which requires the voter to be physically present. The global primary re-enfranchises those who couldn't get back to their old home state.

Pinch of salt on these result as the demographic of the US citizen abroad will favour Obama, who scores well with wealthier, white voters.

In what reads like a report of a game of Risk, I received a rather breathless email from Karen Robinson of the Obama camp, declaring global domination:

The result? Barack Obama won with 65.6% of the votes, compared with 32.7% for Senator Clinton, making it the 11th consecutive primary contest win for Barack Obama since Super Tuesday.

Obama won all of the big countries: taking majorities in countries with the highest number of voters:

62.5% in Canada
56.6% in Mexico
79.3% in Japan
71.8% in France
69.1% in Italy
65.1% in the Netherlands
68.9% here in the UK

Obama also won in every region:

54.6% in the Americas,
72.6% in Asia and the Pacific, and
68% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa

Other noteworthy, although not statistically signifcant, votes mentioned by Karen were ins in Afghanistan (77.7%, only 9 ballots cast) Congo, 75% of the 4 votes cast and nudging Clinton in Iraq (57.1% or 8 of the 14 ballots cast).

Other results:

Antartica: Obama 100%, Clinton 0% (turnout: 1)
Kyrgystan: Clinton 50%, Obama 50% (2)

Hillary Clinton had to satsify herself with wins in:

Philippines 55.2% (79)
New Caledonia 100% (1)
Turkmenistan 100% (2)
Israel 53.7% (184)

See full results of the Democrat's Abroad Global Presidential Primary here.

Unfortunately for Obama after all that - the way that the voting was allocated throughout the regions means that in real terms Obama has only gained a .5 delegate lead over Senator Clinton through our Primary. Obama has won 2.5 delegate votes (representing 5 delegates with .5 votes each) and Clinton has won 2 delegate votes (representing 4 delegates with .5 votes each).

With still some Democrat's Abroad Superdelegates undecided, Obama's camp are urging Democrat voters Abroad to lobby their Superdelegates - this one is going down to the wire folks.

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